document.write( "
The answers to these questions should influence how the US responds to the threats China’s ASAT represents. There is at least one way to answer these questions: \"war-gaming\" a massive Chinese attack on US satellites, where China is only limited by the laws of physics and the known properties of their ASAT, and see how much damage could be done. Such an exercise also reveals what the US could do, and what it could not do, to minimize the consequences. The results of my calculations are reported here. They assume that China launches a massive attack and that everything works exactly as planned: every ASAT launches, the US does not respond until after the attacks are launched even though it will have overwhelming evidence ahead of time, and every ASAT hits its target. Thus, this is a worst case scenario for the United States. In the end, we'll show, the US would still has sufficient space assets to fight a major conventional war with China, even after such an attack. America's military capabilities would be reduced, for a few hours at a time. But they would not be crippled. Back in 2001, a commission lead by Donald Rumsfeld warned of a \"space Pearl Harbor,\" a single strike that could cripple America's satellite network. It turns out, there is no such thing.
Forden, Geoffrey. \"How China Loses the Coming Space War.\" Wired Magazine. January 10, 2008.![]()