India and Pakistan could develop direct-ascent or microsatellite ASATs
Developing states like India and Pakistan could develop two types of ASATs by 2010. First, both states could create modified missile defense systems to intercept satellites. All missile defense interceptors have an inherent capability to intercept satellites in LEO. India already has an active program to develop its own indigenous missile defenses and has expressed interest in purchasing the U.S. Patriot PAC-3 and Russian S-300 short-range missile defense systems. Second, both states might develop so-called "killer satellites" based on civilian microsatellite technology. The Indian Space Research Organization is already supporting the development of a 60 kg technology demonstration microsatellite, called ANUSAT, to be launched in 2005.
Lewis, Jeffrey. What if Space Were Weaponized? Possible Consequences for Crisis Scenarios. Washington, D.C.: Center for Defense Information, July 2004. [ 16 quotes ]
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