No nation currently possess an operational ASAT capability that poses a significant threat to the U.S.
Although the Space Commission report and more ardent 'space hawks' might
lead one to believe otherwise, there is no current anti-satellite (ASAT)
threat. In fact, operational ASATs are vestiges of the Cold War era.
Richard L. Garwin, a physicist and senior fellow at the Council on
Foreign Relations, writes, "In the Cold War era, it was perfectly clear
that deployment of space weapons by the Soviet Union would have led to
an effective ASAT deployed by the United States; conversely, the Soviet
Union was fully capable of providing the necessary ASAT to counter U.S.
space weapons." But in the post-Soviet era, neither the United States
nor Russia has dedicated space ASAT weapons deployed. According to
RAND, no other "nation possesses an operational ASAT capability that
poses a significant threat to U.S. national security space
systems."
Pena, Charles V. and Edward Hudgins. Should the United States 'Weaponize' Space? Military and Commercial Implications. Washington, D.C.: CATO Institute, March 18, 2002. [ 5 quotes ]
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