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China Likely to Attempt to Disable U.S. Satellites Before Attacking Taiwan
 
A future enemy may not be able to achieve space superiority, but it
may be able to deny this advantage to the United States. A nation with
a few ASATs might use that capability as a deterrent, offensive
weapon, or terrorist device. Such a nation may not want the United
States to use its space resources over a particular area or during a
certain time period.

For example, because it might not want a US reconnaissance satellite
to detect or watch an amphibious invasion of Taiwan, or support a US
counterstrike against the PRC, China might use its ASATs to blind or
disable a number of US military space satellites until the successful
conclusion of the operation. Additionally, without space support, a US
attempt to help Taiwanese forces recapture their territory would be
more difficult. The destruction of US space satellites might also
serve as a warning not to interfere in this situation. Any nation that
wanted to warn the United States that it should not meddle in that
state's affairs or intervene in a dispute could build and deploy a
rudimentary ASAT system at least as capable as Program 437. By doing
so it would gain the capability to inflict serious damage on US space
systems.

Chun, Clayton K. S. Shooting Down a Star: Program 437, the U.S. Nuclear ASAT System and Present Day Copycat Killers. Maxwell AFB, AL: USAF Air University, April 2000. [ 11 quotes ] [ page 70 ]

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